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USA vs Belgium Odds & Betting Tips

Match preview with latest odds, expert predictions, popular bets and best sportsbook offers.

USA
USA
VS
Belgium
Belgium
6 Jul, 2026
17:00 (UTC)
Lumen Field, Seattle
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USA VS BELGIUM ODDS

USA Win
2.56
BEST ODDS
+2%
Draw
3.4
+1%
Belgium Win
2.74
+3%
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POPULAR BETS FOR USA VS BELGIUM

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1
USA to Win
2.56
56%
Low Risk
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2
USA Draw No Bet
2.01
39%
Low Risk
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3
Both Teams To Score
2.00
44%
Medium Risk
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4
Over 2.5 Goals
1.11
49%
Medium Risk
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Popular does not always mean profitable. Compare odds and review predictions before placing a bet.

BEST ODDS
USA Win 2.56
Draw 3.4
Belgium Win 2.74
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EXPERT PICK
USA Draw No Bet
2.01
Confidence: 8.3/10
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USA vs Belgium: Where to Watch, Odds & Prediction

The United States faces Belgium in the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 16 on 6 July 2026, with a 5:00 p.m. local kickoff at Lumen Field in Seattle. This is knockout football at its most charged: a co-host nation backed by a partisan home crowd against a Belgian golden generation chasing one last deep run. The stakes are a quarter-final berth, a revenge subplot stretching back to 2014, and a fixture that has the entire football world watching. This page maps exactly where you can watch it, country by country, then breaks down the odds and a full match prediction.

Where to Watch USA vs Belgium - by Region

Host Nations

If you are in the United States, you have the widest range of options. FOX and FS1 carry all 104 matches in English, with around 70 broadcast free over-the-air on FOX and the remainder on FS1. In Spanish, Telemundo and Universo cover 92 matches free. For streaming, the FOX Sports App and FOX One deliver the English feed, while Peacock holds exclusive Spanish-language streaming rights. Tubi carries select matches free. Pay-TV and virtual MVPD carriers include Fubo, YouTube TV, Hulu + Live TV, DirecTV Stream, and Sling. Channel allocations can shift, so confirm your local listing before kickoff.

In Canada, Bell Media holds the rights across all 104 matches. TSN broadcasts in English and CTV carries select matches free-to-air. French-language viewers can find coverage on RDS. Streaming is available through TSN+, the RDS app, and Crave. Always check your local listing ahead of the 5:00 p.m. kickoff.

In Mexico, TelevisaUnivision (Canal 5 and TUDN) and TV Azteca carry the match free-to-air. Sky Sports Mexico offers it on pay-TV. For streaming, ViX provides 32 matches free with all 104 available on ViX Premium, and Blue To Go is an additional option. Verify your local channel schedule before kickoff.

Europe

Viewers in the United Kingdom are well served with the BBC and ITV sharing free-to-air rights across the tournament. Stream on BBC iPlayer or ITVX. In Ireland, RTE broadcasts free-to-air and RTE Player handles streaming.

In Germany, MagentaTV holds the primary rights, with ARD and ZDF carrying selected matches free-to-air. Spain sees RTVE broadcasting free-to-air alongside Mediapro and DAZN on pay. France has TF1 and M6 free-to-air, with beIN SPORTS France on pay. Portugal benefits from three free-to-air broadcasters: RTP, SIC, and TVI, with RTP Play available for streaming. As always, check your local listing to confirm the channel for this specific match.

Arab World / MENA

beIN SPORTS holds exclusive rights across 24 countries in the Arab world and MENA region, covering all 104 matches in Arabic, English, and French across beIN SPORTS MAX 1-6 and in 4K HDR. Streaming is available via beIN CONNECT and TOD by beIN. Live free-to-air coverage is not available in most markets in this region, including Saudi Arabia. Confirm your subscription package before kickoff.

Asia-Pacific

In Australia, SBS carries all 104 matches free-to-air, making this one of the best-value viewing situations globally. SBS on Demand handles streaming. Check your local SBS schedule to confirm the broadcast time.

Best Way to Watch - Picture, Apps & Multiview

For the sharpest picture, the USA offers a 4K/HDR feed through FOX One, while viewers in the MENA region can access beIN SPORTS 4K HDR for the same premium experience. During the group stage, multiview features on official apps allowed fans to follow overlapping fixtures simultaneously, a useful tool if other Round of 16 matches are running close together. Stick to the official apps per region: the FOX Sports App and FOX One in the USA, TSN+ and Crave in Canada, ViX in Mexico, BBC iPlayer or ITVX in the UK, RTE Player in Ireland, RTP Play in Portugal, and beIN CONNECT or TOD in MENA. These are the only routes that guarantee a reliable, legal, and high-quality stream.

USA vs Belgium Match Preview

The United States arrive at Lumen Field as co-hosts carrying genuine momentum. They won Group D, beating Paraguay 4-1 and Australia 2-0 before losing 2-3 to Turkiye, then dispatched Bosnia and Herzegovina 2-0 in the Round of 32. That Bosnia win was the USA's first World Cup knockout victory since 2002 and their first World Cup win over a European side since that same year. The problem: top scorer Folarin Balogun was sent off in the 64th minute against Bosnia following a VAR review for serious foul play and is suspended for this game. His absence forces Mauricio Pochettino into an attacking reshuffle, with Ricardo Pepi, Haji Wright, or Giovanni Reyna the candidates to lead the line.

Belgium, ranked 9th in the world by FIFA compared to the USA's 17th, navigated Group G without full conviction: a 1-1 draw with Egypt, a 0-0 draw with IR Iran, and a 5-1 win over New Zealand. Their Round of 32 was far more dramatic: 2-0 down to Senegal at the 51st minute, they clawed back through Romelu Lukaku in the 86th minute, Youri Tielemans in the 89th minute, and Tielemans again from the penalty spot deep in extra time. It was one of the latest goals in World Cup history, and it confirmed that this Belgian squad knows how to survive.

Tactically, expect the USA's high-press, fast-starting 4-3-3 under Pochettino to test a Belgian side that has been slow out of the blocks all tournament. The USA scored inside the first 15 minutes in all three group games. Against a Belgium defence missing Zeno Debast through injury, there is early opportunity. For Belgium, the danger comes later: Kevin De Bruyne, Leandro Trossard, and Jeremy Doku are the moment-makers when the game opens up, and Thibaut Courtois is a match-winner in goal. The first hour is likely to be cagey; the final 30 minutes and potential extra time are where this tie will be decided.

USA vs Belgium Odds

Market Selection Odds (Decimal) Implied Probability (margin included)
Match Winner USA 2.56 39%
Match Winner Draw 3.40 29%
Match Winner Belgium 2.74 36%
Double Chance USA or Draw Available via Dexsport -
Both Teams to Score Yes / No Available via Dexsport -
Total Goals Over / Under 2.5 Available via Dexsport -

Odds are correct at time of writing and subject to change. The three 1X2 implied probabilities sum above 100% due to the bookmaker margin. You can check the latest lines and place your bets on this match at Dexsport's FIFA World Cup 2026 betting hub, which supports crypto wagering for a fast and borderless experience.

USA vs Belgium Predictions

Best Bet: Belgium to advance. The quality edge is real. De Bruyne, Lukaku, Courtois, and Trossard are world-class operators, and Belgium's head-to-head record against the USA is dominant: six wins from the last six meetings, including a 5-2 friendly victory as recently as March 2026. Balogun's suspension removes the USA's most dangerous attacker, reducing their goal threat at the most critical moment. Belgium at 2.74 (implied 36%) represents a reasonable anchor bet.

Value Bet: USA to reach extra time (draw at 90 minutes). Belgium have been slow to start in every game of this tournament. The USA score early, play in front of a fervent Seattle crowd, and have the set-piece delivery of Malik Tillman and Antonee Robinson to threaten. Without Balogun, the USA are less lethal, but Christian Pulisic and Tillman are capable of a decisive moment. The draw at 3.40 (implied 29%) reflects a genuine scenario given both teams' tendencies: the USA's fast starts versus Belgium's late-game quality.

Longshot Bet: Both Teams to Score. Belgium leaked goals against Senegal and the USA conceded three to Turkiye in the group stage. Belgium's attacking quality through Trossard (two goals in the tournament), Lukaku, and De Bruyne gives them a consistent scoring threat. The USA, even without Balogun, have Pulisic, Tillman, and set-piece delivery. Both Round of 32 games were decided late and involved goals at both ends; BTTS carries logical support here.

United States Form and Belgium Form

United States

The USA won Group D with victories over Paraguay (4-1) and Australia (2-0), then lost 2-3 to Turkiye before regrouping to beat Bosnia and Herzegovina 2-0 in the Round of 32. Balogun scored the opener against Bosnia before his red card; Tillman added a direct free-kick in the 82nd minute. Mauricio Pochettino's side press high, start fast, and are dangerous from set pieces. Christian Pulisic is the talisman, managing a calf issue but expected to start. Weston McKennie started every group game and scored in the March friendly against Belgium. Tyler Adams anchors the midfield. The key weakness is Balogun's suspension: he was the team's top scorer with three goals, and replacing him with Pepi, Wright, or Reyna is a significant drop in proven output. The USA also conceded three to Turkiye, showing defensive vulnerability against quality European sides.

Belgium

Belgium's group stage was uneven: a 1-1 draw with Egypt, a goalless draw with IR Iran, and a 5-1 win over New Zealand. Their Round of 32 comeback against Senegal showed resilience but also fragility: 2-0 down before Lukaku and Tielemans rescued them in the final minutes. Rudi Garcia's side operate in a 4-3-3 with width from Doku and Trossard and quality in the middle through De Bruyne and Tielemans. Trossard has been Belgium's most consistent attacker with two goals and an assist. De Bruyne, aged 35, has been minutes-managed and has not played 90 minutes in this tournament. Courtois is a commanding presence in goal. Zeno Debast is out injured, which weakens the defensive structure. Belgium's pattern of slow starts is a genuine tactical vulnerability against a team that scores in the opening 15 minutes.

Head-to-Head Record

The all-time head-to-head record heavily favours Belgium. Across seven meetings, the USA have one win, no draws, and six losses. The one USA victory came at the very first meeting: a 3-0 win at the 1930 FIFA World Cup. That remains the only time the USA have beaten Belgium. The most recent World Cup meeting was in 2014, when Belgium won 2-1 after extra time in the Round of 16 in a game remembered for Tim Howard's 16 saves. De Bruyne, Lukaku, and Courtois were all part of that Belgium squad and remain in this one. No player from the 2014 USA squad features in the current team.

The most recent encounter was a 5-2 Belgium win in a friendly in March 2026, just months before this tournament. Belgium have won six of the last six meetings between the sides. The USA's only win in the entire history of this fixture came 96 years ago.

Betting Tips

  • Belgium to advance: Superior individual quality, a dominant head-to-head, and a 5-2 friendly win in March 2026 all point toward Belgium progressing. The suspension of Balogun is a significant blow to the USA's attacking depth.
  • Draw at 90 minutes: Belgium's slow starts and the USA's fast-starting, home-crowd-backed identity make a tight, level game at full time a genuine possibility. The draw at 3.40 is the value angle if you believe this goes to extra time.
  • Both Teams to Score: Belgium's late-game attacking quality and the USA's set-piece threat mean both goalkeepers are likely to be beaten. Belgium conceded in the Senegal game; the USA conceded three to Turkiye.
  • Leandro Trossard anytime scorer: Trossard has been Belgium's most reliable attacker in this tournament with two goals and an assist across four games. He started every match and is the most consistent goal threat in Garcia's side.
  • USA to score in the first 15 minutes: The USA scored inside the opening 15 minutes in all three group games. Against a Belgium side that has been slow to start throughout this tournament, an early USA goal is a live in-play trigger.

Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly. If you need support, visit BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.

Popular Betting Options

For this Round of 16 fixture, the most popular markets are the 1X2 match winner, double chance, both teams to score, and over/under 2.5 goals. Player props are also generating significant interest: Trossard and Lukaku for Belgium, and Pulisic and Tillman for the USA. If you want to bet with crypto on this match, Dexsport offers a fast, decentralised platform covering all major World Cup 2026 markets. It is worth checking the full range of available markets before kickoff, as Round of 16 fixtures typically attract a broader selection of specials and in-play options than group-stage games.

FAQ

How can I watch USA vs Belgium in the USA, Canada, or Mexico?
In the USA, watch on FOX or FS1 in English (streaming via the FOX Sports App or FOX One) or on Telemundo and Universo in Spanish (streaming on Peacock). In Canada, TSN carries the match in English, RDS in French, with streaming on TSN+ and Crave. In Mexico, Canal 5, TUDN, and TV Azteca broadcast free-to-air, with streaming on ViX and ViX Premium. Always confirm your local channel listing before kickoff.

Is the match free-to-air in the UK or elsewhere in Europe?
Yes. In the UK, the match is available free-to-air on either the BBC or ITV, with streaming on BBC iPlayer or ITVX. In Ireland, RTE broadcasts free-to-air with RTE Player for streaming. Portugal also has free-to-air coverage across RTP, SIC, and TVI. In France, TF1 and M6 carry selected matches free. In Germany, ARD and ZDF share free-to-air rights for selected games alongside MagentaTV. Check your local listing to confirm which channel has this specific match.

How do fans in the Middle East and North Africa watch the match?
beIN SPORTS holds exclusive rights across 24 countries in the MENA region. All 104 matches are available in Arabic, English, and French across beIN SPORTS MAX 1-6 and in 4K HDR. Stream via beIN CONNECT or TOD by beIN. There is no free-to-air live coverage in most markets in this region. A beIN SPORTS subscription is required.

What time is kickoff in local time?
Kickoff is at 5:00 p.m. local time on 6 July 2026 at Lumen Field in Seattle. If you are watching from outside the USA, check your local broadcaster's schedule for the converted time in your region.